Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.358985 0.467843 0.586458 0.723470 0.875708 1.038233 1.223486
2025-08-24 0.174262 0.304630 0.465775 0.669718 0.912943 1.187300 1.514412
2025-08-31 0.097288 0.227670 0.407645 0.651213 0.955341 1.309760 1.742943
2025-09-07 0.055755 0.182531 0.378149 0.658679 1.021854 1.455418 1.994724
2025-09-14 0.026897 0.141675 0.344032 0.651883 1.064171 1.567049 2.202093
2025-09-21 0.008819 0.104922 0.306750 0.634128 1.087638 1.652186 2.375077
2025-09-28 0.003823 0.095441 0.311125 0.673556 1.184438 1.826876 2.655066
2025-10-05 0.001476 0.090779 0.322507 0.722468 1.293438 2.016633 2.953357
2025-10-12 0.000148 0.083107 0.326393 0.759093 1.385309 2.184566 3.224969
2025-10-19 NaN 0.083155 0.344997 0.818156 1.507756 2.391329 3.544363
2025-10-26 NaN 0.079051 0.354092 0.861951 1.609061 2.571197 3.830845
2025-11-02 NaN 0.066299 0.342054 0.870969 1.661469 2.688147 4.039537
2025-11-09 NaN 0.040926 0.294139 0.820677 1.632604 2.704342 4.129351
2025-11-16 NaN 0.020743 0.245588 0.763407 1.590666 2.701985 4.195474
2025-11-23 NaN 0.011443 0.220785 0.743507 1.599919 2.764299 4.340320
2025-11-30 NaN 0.007337 0.211889 0.751529 1.649816 2.880159 4.552678
2025-12-07 NaN 0.003341 0.195982 0.744238 1.675671 2.963253 4.722985
2025-12-14 NaN 0.000659 0.175486 0.725192 1.682204 3.019461 4.858367
2025-12-21 NaN 0.000597 0.184712 0.767466 1.783577 3.204359 5.158863
2025-12-28 NaN 0.000774 0.198661 0.819803 1.900750 3.410920 5.487401
2026-01-04 NaN 0.000631 0.206327 0.858922 1.997429 3.589727 5.780469
2026-01-11 NaN 0.001078 0.225251 0.921887 2.131365 3.819380 6.139051
2026-01-18 NaN 0.001104 0.236389 0.968489 2.239919 4.014628 6.453615